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07/11/2010 - Oakland, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Trevor Cahill threw seven innings and Jack Cust hit a two-run homer as the Oakland Athletics took a 5-2 win over the LA Angels of Anaheim in the finale of a three-game set.
Cahill (9-3) gave up just one unearned run on five hits with a pair of walks and three strikeouts. Kurt Suzuki went 3-for-3 with an RBI and a run scored for the Athletics, who won the final two games of this set.
Bobby Abreu hit a solo homer while Erick Aybar went 3-for-5 for the Angels, who have dropped six of their last seven. Jered Weaver (8-5) was tagged for five runs on seven hits with a walk and seven strikeouts over six innings.
The Angels sit in second place in the AL West with a mark of 47-44, 4 1/2 games back of first place Texas, while Oakland is third in the division with a 43-46 record.
Oakland took the lead in the first when Ryan Sweeney hit a two-out double and Suzuki followed with a two-bagger for a 1-0 lead.
The Athletics made it a 3-0 game in the fourth as Suzuki led off with a walk and Cust followed with a blast over the wall in left-center.
The Angels got a run back in the fifth as Kevin Frandsen reached second base thanks to a Cliff Pennington error and came home when Jeff Mathis followed with a single to center to make it a 3-1 game.
Anaheim loaded the bases in the sixth with no outs, but Mike Napoli hit into a 5-2-3 double play and Cory Aldridge struck out to end the threat.
The A's padded their lead in the bottom of the sixth as Adam Rosales' two-run single made it a 5-1 contest.
Abreu made it a three-run game in the eighth as he led off the frame with his 10th home run of the season.
Andrew Bailey worked around a one-out single in the ninth to pick up his 18th save of the season.
Game Notes
Oakland starts a three-game set in Kansas City on Friday...The Angels host Seattle for four games starting on Thursday...The Angels have taken seven of the 13 games with Oakland this season.
<< Marlins earn split with Diamondbacks
Phoenix, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jorge Cantu and Dan Uggla knocked in runs and
six Marlins pitchers combined for a shutout in a 2-0 triumph over the
Diamondbacks to earn a split of this four-game series.
Alex Sanabia made his firs
<< Uruguay's Forlan wins Golden Ball as best player
Johannesburg, South Africa (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Uruguay forward Diego Forlan won
the Golden Ball on Sunday as the best player at the FIFA World Cup.
Forlan, 31, edged the Netherlands' Wesley Sneijder and Spain's David Villa for
the award. Forl
<< Padres rally to beat Rockies, avoid sweep
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Matt Belisle's two-run throwing error in the
eighth put San Diego ahead for good and Everth Cabrera added a two-run homer
in the ninth for insurance in a 9-7 Padres win to close a three-game series
against
<< Spain's Casillas wins Golden Glove as top goalie
Johannesburg, South Africa (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Spain goalie Iker Casillas, who
helped his team beat the Netherlands 1-0 in the FIFA World Cup final, won the
Golden Glove on Sunday as the tournament's best goalkeeper.
Casillas posted five
Manuel hopes to see bit more of this All-Star game >>
ANAHEIM, Calif. (AP) -To Charlie Manuel, the whole All-Star experience whizzed by last summer. He's hoping to change one thing this time - the result.The Philadelphia manager is set to guide the National League for the second straight All-Star game.
Spain triumph caps tournament of firsts >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - When the 2010 FIFA World Cup was awarded
to South Africa on May 15, 2004, the tournament promised to be a history-
making event.
The 19th edition of the competition would be the first to be play
World Cup all-tournament team has a few surprises >>
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The 2010 FIFA World Cup featured the four
most recent World Player of the Year winners, but none of them performed well
enough in South Africa to earn a spot on our all-tournament team.
Perhaps Italy defen
Bandages and all, Creamer a major champion >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Paula Creamer squeezed one final par out of prickly Oakmont
and threw her hands over her face. The left hand was bandaged thumb-to-wrist,
something else to absorb the tears.
She cried, yes, but this time the source of her
Underdog bettors love the Super Bowl and, history suggests, the underdogs love them back. And the big dogs bite harder.
Even so, there is a warning in store for Super Bowl gamblers who must love dogs: The Arizona Cardinals Super Bowl betting lines might not be enough of a Cinderella to make it worth your while.
Although the Cardinals were widely panned as one of the worst division winners and least playoff-worthy teams in recent memory, their trip to Super Bowl XLIII Jan. 31 in Tampa against the Pittsburgh Steelers Super Bowl betting lines comes with a little more respect from the oddsmakers than you might imagine. They are a 7-point underdog at most sports books.
If you count yourself among those who covet the big dog in the big game, this isn’t exactly great news. You should have been hoping for more points. This is because the facts show that the bigger the dog, the better the bet in the Super Bowl.
Case in point: Over the past 13 seasons, double-figure underdogs in the Super Bowl are 4-0-1 ATS and have won the past three outright. In fact, the last double-digit chalk to do the deed for bettors was the 1995 San Francisco 49ers, who managed to beat the astounding 19-point spot afforded backers of the San Diego Chargers in the 49-26 romp in Super Bowl XXIX.
By contrast, 7-point favorites are 2-1-1 ATS in the same span, the last such contest resulting a cover grinded out by the Colts in their 29-17 win over the Bears two seasons ago in Super Bowl XLI.
In 2004, the Patriots failed to cover the number in their 32-29 triumph over the Carolina Panthers in Super Bowl props while the Rams and Titans gave everyone a refund in 2000 after the Rams posted a 23-16 win as a seven-point favorite.
So while Arizona’s run has included impressive upsets as a 10-point road underdog to the Carolina Panthers and Sunday’s 32-25 win in the NFC championship game to the 4-point favored Philadelphia Eagles, their long-shot story lacks a bit of the David vs. Goliath storyline of past Super Bowl underdogs.
While the seven-point spread represents a significant gap in the perception of strength between the two teams, it is far from monumental. For example, last season the Giants were the wild-card afterthought turned road-warrior buzzsaw, with stunning wins over the Buccaneers, Cowboys and Packers to earn their place in the Super Bowl.
There, they played spoiler to New England’s bid to become the first 19-0 team in NFL history and cemented their place in sports betting lore with a 17-14 win as a 12.5-point underdog.
In other words, the Cardinals appear to have their work cut out for them as a mid-range underdog. But in homage to the spread beaters who have come before them, here is a brief look back at recent colossal upsets in the Super Bowl:
SB XLII -- 2008 -- New York Giants 17, New England Patriots 14 (Giants +12.5) – Eli Manning’s 13-yard touchdown pass to Plaxico Burress in the final minute clinched the historic upset for the Giants, who used a masterful defensive plan to slow down Tom Brady and the previously undefeated New England Patriots.
XXXVI -- 2002 -- Patriots 20, Rams 17 (Patriots +14) – This was the coming out party for the aforementioned Brady, who went from obscure sixth-round draft pick to Super Bowl hero in one fell swoop. He led the game-winning drive in the final minute – eschewing analyst John Madden’s advice to take a knee and play for overtime – leading to Adam Vinatieri’s memorable 48-yard field goal that split the uprights as time expired.
XXXII 1998 Broncos 31, Packers 24 (Denver +12) – The first of John Elway’s two consecutive Super Bowl titles to put an end to his Hall of Fame career was an upset for the ages. The Broncos used the determination of Elway and a 157-yard, three-touchdown performance from Terrell Davis to turn back Brett Favre and the heavily favored Packers.
Get free 2009 Super Bowl Betting from top rated online sportsbook MySportsbook.com. Mysportsbook.com online Super Bowl betting VISA Mastercard
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
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