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11/23/2007 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nicklas Backstrom scored the game winner 1:55 into overtime as the Washington Capitals prevailed to defeat the Philadelphia Flyers, 4-3, at the Wachovia Center.
With both teams trying to gain the extra point, Alexander Ovechkin picked up the puck inside his own zone, skated down the right wing into the Philadelphia zone. With two defenders on him, Ovechkin shoveled the puck over to Backstrom, who put the puck into the wide open net to give the Caps the win.
Backstrom also added two assists, while Mike Green, Chris Clark and Donald Brashear scored for the Capitals, who snapped a five-game losing streak and got a win for Bruce Boudreau, who was making his NHL head coaching debut.
The Capitals fired Glen Hanlon on Thursday as the team was a league worst 6-14-1 for 13 points this season under Hanlon.
Olaf Kolzig stopped 22-of-25 shots in the victory
Danny Briere, Jeff Carter and Mike Richards tallied for Philadelphia, which has lost three of its last four.
Martin Biron made 31 saves in defeat.
With the Capitals holding a 3-2 lead late in the third, Lasse Kukkonen kept the puck in at the point and got it over to R.J. Umberger, who had his wrist shot knocked away by Kolzig. However, Richards, following up the play, stuffed the rebound past the Washington goaltender to tie the contest at with 4:15 left in regulation.
The Flyers had a golden opportunity to take the lead when Tom Poti was whistled for slashing with 2:14 remaining, but Philadelphia couldn't light the lamp on the power play and the game went into overtime.
Washington jumped out to a quick start, striking for a power-play goal 2:27 into the opening period. With Scott Hartnell in the box serving a minor boarding penalty, the Capitals went to work with the man advantage. Backstrom got the puck from Poti in the right circle, then sent a cross-ice pass to Green, who fired a one-timer past Biron from the left circle to give the visitors the early lead.
In a heavyweight bout two seconds later, Brashear took on Riley Cote of the Flyers.
Clark's tally 3:39 into the second on a nice feed from Viktor Kozlov made it a 2-0 game. Kozlov skated down the right side, made an inside-out move on Kimmo Timonen, then found Clark, who was standing just to the right of the Flyers net and tapped the puck in.
Brashear's tip in off of Shaone Morrisonn's wrist shot with 5:49 left in the second stanza gave the Caps a commanding 3-0 lead.
Philadelphia was not about to go quitely as the Flyers answered with a pair of goals just over two minutes apart. First it was Briere stuffing a rebound past Kolzig with 4:15 left in the second, then a couple minutes later Carter beat the Washington netminder with a quick snap shot from inside the right circle on a chip pass from Umberger to make it 3-2 after two periods of play.
Game Notes
Attendance was 19,727...The Flyers play at Ottawa on Saturday, while Washington hosts the Carolina Hurricanes on Saturday...Washington has won their last four games when Caps coaches were making their debuts...Ovechkin has points in seven straight games...Richards now has a career-high 12 goals...The Caps have won three straight games in Philadelphia for the first time since December 9, 1993 to January 29, 1994...Poti and Umberger each had two assists apiece.
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Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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